Showing posts with label Abu Dhabi. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Abu Dhabi. Show all posts

Tuesday, August 08, 2023

Coup in Niger. Coup leaders want Wagner. UAE sends military vehicles to Chad. UK supports UAE at COP28

NOTE from Sudan Watch Editor: Chad is a neighbour of Sudan and Niger. On 26 July Niger became the latest country in West Africa where the army has seized control, following Burkina Faso, Guinea, Mali, and Chad - all former French colonies.


Since 1990, 78% of the 27 coups in sub-Saharan Africa have occurred in Francophone states leading some commentators to ask whether France - or the legacy of French colonialism - is to blame?


Note, on 7 Feb 1992 France signed a bilateral treaty recognising Russia as a successor of the USSR. As described by Paris the bilateral relations between France and Russia remain longstanding, and remain strong to this day.


France controlled Chad from 1900 until the country's independence in 1960. France maintains an air force base at Chad's N'Djamena International Airport where it has launched humanitarian and counter-terrorism missions to the Central African Republic, Mali and Niger.


Russia's Wagner mercenary group is "taking advantage" of instability in Niger, US Secretary of State Antony Blinken told BBC News todayThe BBC report says "the country has been ruled by a junta following the ousting of President Mohamed Bazoum nearly two weeks ago. There have been suggestions the coup leaders have asked for help from Wagner, which is known to be present in neighbouring Mali."

Image: Antony Blinken says the US is concerned about the Wagner group appearing in parts of the Sahel region. Image and caption credit: BBC report (Tue 8 Aug 2023, 20:09 GMT+1): Niger coup: Wagner taking advantage of instability - Antony Blinken


Also, the report says "both the US and France operate military bases in Niger as part of operations to disrupt jihadist groups operating in the wider region. Niger became the main base for French troops after they were told to leave Mali following a coup there. Wagner is believed to have thousands of fighters in countries including the Central African Republic (CAR) and Mali, where it has lucrative business interests but also bolsters Russia's diplomatic and economic relations."


Meanwhile, as per the UAE's official news agency (WAM) report here below, the UAE has sent a shipment of military vehicles and security equipment to Chad, to support its capabilities in combatting terrorism and enhancing border protection.


WAM published some photos (see below) of several desert-coloured armoured vehicles, with the Emirati and Chadian flags draped over two of them. 


And, to add some more clarity (joke), here below is a report saying "UK supports UAE, looks forward for a strong participation and engagement with UAE at COP28, UK Ambassador tells WAM". 


Plus a report by Reuters explaining "Niger is among the world's biggest uranium producers", followed by a nuclear photo showing a mushroom cloud over Hiroshima after the dropping of the uranium-based atomic bomb nicknamed 'Little Boy', and a tweet on the Niger coup by Admiral James Stavridis, USN, Ret. (@stavridisj) August 6, 2023 saying: "Will this lead to a full-blown war in Africa? It certainly has the potential to do so, and would be a significant and devastating event." Read more.

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Report from The Economic Times - economictimes.indiatimes.com

By AFP (Agence France-Presse)
Published Monday 07 August 2023 - here is a full copy:

UAE sends military vehicles to Chad

Synopsis
Chad is a neighbour of Niger, where a coup late last month toppled one of the last pro-Western leaders in the jihadist-plagued Sahel region. The UAE's official news agency WAM included a photo of several desert-coloured armoured vehicles, with the Emirati and Chadian flags draped over two of them. Emirati firm NIMR manufactures the vehicles.

The United Arab Emirates has sent military vehicles and other security gear to Chad in support of anti-"terrorism" efforts and border protection, the oil-rich Gulf state said on Sunday.

Chad is a neighbour of Niger, where a coup late last month toppled one of the last pro-Western leaders in the jihadist-plagued Sahel region. 

The UAE's official news agency WAM included a photo of several desert-coloured armoured vehicles, with the Emirati and Chadian flags draped over two of them. Emirati firm NIMR manufactures the vehicles.

"The UAE has sent a shipment of military vehicles and security equipment to the Republic of Chad, to support its capabilities in combatting terrorism and enhancing border protection," WAM said, without providing details on the equipment.

WAM said the two countries had signed a military cooperation agreement in June during a visit by Chad's president, General Mahamat Idriss Deby Itno, who has led the country since his father Idriss Deby Itno died from wounds battling rebels more than two years ago.

The military cooperation pact was one of several bilateral agreements signed between the two countries, WAM said. 

N'Djamena confirmed that it had "received armoured vehicles in the framework of military cooperation between Chad and the Emirates".

"This equipment allows us to strengthen our defence forces in the framework of the struggle against terrorism," Chad's Defence Minister Daoud Yaya Brahim told AFP.

The UAE, which has been developing its own defence industry, has also been increasing its engagement with African nations.

Military chiefs of the West African bloc ECOWAS have agreed on a plan for a possible intervention in response to the July 26 coup which toppled Niger's president Mohamed Bazoum.

Chad is not an ECOWAS member but a Chadian government spokesman told AFP on July 30 that Deby had gone to Niger "to see what he could bring to solving the crisis." 

View original: https://economictimes.indiatimes.com/news/international/world-news/uae-sends-military-vehicles-to-chad/articleshow/102478011.cms

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Report at WAM (The Emirates News Agency) wam.ae/en

By Tariq Al Fahaam

Dated Sunday 06 August 2023, 10:33 AM - here is a full copy:

UAE provides Chad with military and security equipment to support counterterrorism efforts


ABU DHABI, 6th August, 2023 (WAM) -- The UAE has sent a shipment of military vehicles and security equipment to the Republic of Chad, to support its capabilities in combatting terrorism and enhancing border protection.

 

This initiative falls within the framework of the strong ties between the UAE and Chad at various levels, which have resulted in the signing of several bilateral agreements, including a military cooperation agreement in June during the official visit of Mahamat Idriss Deby, Chairman of Chad's Transitional Military Council, to Abu Dhabi.

Rashid Saeed Al Shamsi, UAE Ambassador to Chad, delivered the supplies’ shipment to Lieutenant General Daoud Yahya Brahim, Chad’s Minister of Defence, in the presence of the Chief of the General Staff of the Chadian Army, the Chief of the Strategic Reserve Forces of the Chadian Army, and high-ranking Chadian military officials.

 

The Chadian Minister of Defence expressed his country’s appreciation for the UAE’s ongoing support, which will contribute to restoring peace and stability in the region, stressing that military cooperation plays a key role in enhancing security and efforts to overcome challenges.


View original: https://wam.ae/en/details/1395303184300

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Niger coup: Is France to blame for instability in West Africa?

IMAGE/CAPTION: "Goodbye France," reads a placard held by supporters of the [Niger] coup


Source: BBC News report 06 Aug 2023 'Niger coup: Is France to blame for instability in West Africa?'

...Niger has become the latest country in West Africa where the army has seized control, following Burkina Faso, Guinea, Mali, and Chad - all former French colonies. Since 1990, a striking 78% of the 27 coups in sub-Saharan Africa have occurred in Francophone states leading some commentators to ask whether France - or the legacy of French colonialism - is to blame? ...


View original: https://www.bbc.com/news/world-africa-66406137.amp

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Report at WAM (The Emirates News Agency) wam.ae/e

By Tariq Al Fahaam

Dated Sunday 6 August 2023, 11:18 AM - here is a full copy:


UK supports UAE, looks forward for a strong participation and engagement with UAE at COP28, UK Ambassador tells WAM

ABU DHABI, 6th August, 2023 (WAM) -- Edward Hobart, Ambassador of the United Kingdom of Great Britain and Northern Ireland to the UAE, affirmed his country’s support for the UAE hosting of the Conference of the States Parties to the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (COP28) and UK’s active participation and engagement in the UN climate conference.


‘’In COP28, we think that the UAE is a great country to be hosting it, understands energy, has a long history in energy, has a long history in renewable and clean energy including nuclear. So, it has an example it has set and we need to bring more countries with us. But it's a huge challenge,’’ said Edward Hobart in an interview with Emirates News Agency (WAM).


He spoke about the UK’s vision of the importance of COP28 and its role in bringing about a quantum leap in global climate action as one of main areas of joint cooperation between the two countries.


On UK’s participation at COP28, Edward Hobart said:’’ There will be a very strong British participation at COP28. We've been strong contributors at all COPs up to the one that we chaired two years ago in Glasgow. So we'll have many of our leaders as well as British companies, British investors, British scientists and experts contributing to COP28.’’


The UK, he indicated, chaired COP two years ago in COP26 and I think every year this becomes more important. The climate emergency has to be addressed. So, we really have to focus on reducing emissions, increasing mitigations, helping countries adapt, and providing the financing to do all that, and this is a key part for COP28.


‘’It is a huge challenge for the world, for the UAE to lead that process and we want to do whatever we can to support it. To support it we need to increase renewable and clean energy, and as a target we'd like a bold target to maybe triple renewables by 2030. We have to reduce emissions, and just like the UAE has just published its own commitment to net zero, its refined commitment, we need countries around the world, the big emitters to put out what are called ‘NDCs’, (Nationally Determined Contributions) to reduce those emissions.


‘’ We have to phase out unabated fossil fuels, while at the same time providing alternative and energy sources. And we also need to address the countries which had been affected right now by climate change through development assistance. All of this requires a huge amount of finance. There's no reason why businesses can't get involved in investing private money in order to make money and be commercially driven by it, but we need to provide the right incentives,’’ he added.


On UAE-UK energy cooperation, the UK Ambassador said:’’ The UAE has been investing for over a decade in the UK in renewable energy and they are investors in major wind farms, offshore wind farms, the London Array, wind farms in Scotland, and floating high wind farms off the coast of Scotland. The UAE has also invested in battery storage in the UK, and the UK and the UAE have both invested in each other’s countries in hydrogen projects. So there's a lot of cooperation that we have together as well as in third countries where our businesses and governments work together to help other countries through their own energy transitions.’’

 

‘’The UAE has been a major player in renewable energy for a long time. Their offshore wind and battery head offices are actually in London. So they run their global operations on wind and batteries out of London because we have technology and investments that we share between the UK and the UAE. They have some really interesting investments, I mentioned hydrogen, BP and ADNOC invested in Teesside in the north east of England and here in Abu Dhabi, but also some really interesting innovations. So, Octopus Energy from the UK and Taqa from the UAE investing in Morocco in a British company called Xlinks with the ambition to bring solar and wind energy from Morocco to the UK - three and a half thousand kilometres of cable to do that. So some really important innovations. We intend to do the same hopefully in other parts of the world but we can help them through their energy transition.''


Regarding UAE-UK’s initiatives at COP28, the UK diplomat explained: ‘’Certainly, there will be bilateral initiatives I'm sure with the UAE, as well as UK initiatives on things like nature. We want to make sure that we bring a huge funding to nature based solutions because this is a flipside, is that part of the mitigation to the carbon dioxide in the atmosphere is insuring that we have the right vegetation on the ground. So mangroves is a very important project that we work jointly on with Emirati organisations, developing and sustaining forests around the world and supporting indigenous groups of people that understand how to do that.’’

 

‘’As well as looking after small and developing states, whose very existence is threatened or who find themselves affected by severe climate change in terms of climate events like hurricanes in the Caribbean. So, nature-based solutions, how we protect those communities and those areas which had been most immediately affected by climate change is a really important additional area for the UK to work on with the UAE. I think we'll also work with the UAE on food security. We're hosting a conference in London on the 20th of November to help lead up to COP28 where there'll be a food security element there as well,’’ he concluded.


View original:  https://wam.ae/en/details/1395303184303

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Post script from Sudan Watch Editor: 

Some commentators online are asking what all the fuss is about regarding a coup in Niger. Here are some of the reasons, it's nuclear.

Report from Reuters

Reporting by Eric Onstad; Editing by Nick Macfie

Published Monday 31 July 2023, 7:04 AM GMT+1 - full copy:


Niger is among the world's biggest uranium producers


July 28 (Reuters) - Niger military officers said on Friday they had suspended the constitution and dissolved all institutions after overthrowing President Mohamed Bazoum. Niger is the world's seventh-biggest producer of uranium, according to the World Nuclear Association (WNA).


The radioactive metal is the most widely used fuel for nuclear energy. It is also used in treating cancer, for naval propulsion, and in nuclear weapons.


Below are details of Niger's uranium deposits and mines:


PRODUCTION

Niger, which has Africa's highest-grade uranium ores, produced 2,020 metric tons of uranium in 2022, about 5% of world mining output, according to the WNA. This was down from 2,991 tons in 2020.


The world's three biggest producers are Kazakhstan, Canada and Namibia.


Niger has one major mining operation in the north operated by France's state-owned Orano, another major mine which closed in 2021, with one under development.


Orano said on Friday it was continuing mining despite ongoing "security events". French nuclear power plants source less than 10% of their uranium from Niger, Orano added


ARLIT MINING SITES

Several open pit mining sites are located near the city of Arlit, in the northwest, and operated by Somair, a joint venture of Orano and Niger's state-owned Sopamin.


AKOUTA MINE

This underground mine near Akokan, southwest oif Arlit, produced 75,000 metric tons of uranium from 1978 until March 2021, when it closed after its ore reserves had been depleted.


The mine was owned by Cominak, 59% owned by Orano, 31% by Sopamin and 10% by Spain's state-owned Enusa.


IMOURAREN

This deposit about 50 miles south of Arlit contains one of the largest reserves in the world, according to Orano.


An operating mine permit was awarded in 2009, but work to bring the mine into operation was suspended in 2014 until uranium prices improve. 


Image: The Tamgak open air uranium mine is seen at Areva's Somair uranium mining facility in Arlit, Niger, September 25, 2013. REUTERS/Joe Penney/File Photo.


View original: 

https://www.reuters.com/markets/commodities/uranium-mines-niger-worlds-7th-biggest-producer-2023-07-28/

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The mushroom cloud over Hiroshima after the dropping of the uranium-based atomic bomb nicknamed 'Little Boy'. Read more at Wikipedia.

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Saturday, August 05, 2023

Sudan’s next stop: Regional proxy war? (Alex de Waal)

NOTE from Sudan Watch Editor: This analysis by Prof Dr Alex de Waal will take me all day to read, re-read, study and digest. As it is important and time is of the essence, I am posting it here now with a view to commenting at a later date. Meanwhile, at the end I've added a post script and two cartoons. 

ANALYSIS at Responsible Statecraft - responsiblestatecraft.org
Written by Alex de Waal
Dated Thursday 03 August 2023 - here is a full copy 
[SW updated 06 Aug 2023, 16:07 BST: added al-Burhan photo and caption]

Sudan’s next stop: Regional proxy war?
Sudan's General Abdel Fattah al-Burhan walks with troops, in an unknown location, in this picture released on May 30, 2023. Sudanese Armed Forces/Handout via REUTERS

Outside powers are taking sides, supplying weapons, and hoping one general or the other will gain the battlefield advantage.


The next stage of the battle for Khartoum will, it seems, be decided in Cairo, Ankara and Abu Dhabi.


The middle powers of the Middle East are talking peace even while they are arming their favored clients. 


The theory is that when one side gains a clear battlefield advantage, the other will sue for peace. It’s a high-risk approach.


Egyptian President Abdel Fattah al-Sisi and his Turkish counterpart Recip Tayyip Erdogan are lining up in support of the Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) and its leader, General Abdel Fattah al-Burhan, who is increasingly backed by the old-guard Islamists who held power under the long reign of President Omar al-Bashir. In doing so, they are setting aside longstanding differences over the Muslim Brothers — Turkey supports them, Egypt suppresses them. 


Mohamed bin Zayed al-Nayhan, president of the United Arab Emirates and the ruler of Abu Dhabi, has made the opposite bet. He has supported General Mohamed Hamdan Dagolo, known as Hemedti, the leader of the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) and, according to some reports, is still supplying him with weapons. Hemedti impressed bin Zayed with his energetic leadership, especially of the paramilitaries he provided for the Saudi-Emirati ground war in Yemen, and his opposition to the Muslim Brothers — famously, the Emirati ruler’s bête noire. Hemedti also has a mutually profitable business trading gold to UAE. 


Starting a few days after the eruption of civil war in Khartoum in April, the United States and Saudi Arabia convened talks in the Saudi city of Jeddah. The immediate aims were to secure a ceasefire and access for humanitarian aid, but another goal was to prevent the emergence of a proxy conflict such as this. 


After a slack period in which two other peace initiatives surfaced — one led by Kenya, the other by Egypt — American and Saudi diplomats have pushed their talks with new vigor. But the chance of a ceasefire is slipping away, and with it comes the peril of a new, even more intense phase of the war.


At the outbreak of hostilities on April 15, Hemedti’s RSF surprised its adversary, the SAF, with its tactical acumen and its ability to hold ground in Khartoum. As RSF troops occupied strategic sites throughout the city, the SAF was reduced to enclaves and to air and artillery barrages. Unable to control the capital, its claim to represent the government was in question. 


But the RSF could not press home its early military gains, while it decisively lost any sympathies among the city dwellers through the appalling abuses perpetrated by its fighters—arbitrary killings, rapes and ransacking residential neighborhoods as well as occupying hospitals and terrorizing medical staff, and vandalizing universities and the national museum.


The army interprets the May 11 “Declaration of Principles for the Protection of Civilians,” signed by both parties in Jeddah, as stipulating that the RSF withdraws not just from homes and hospitals, but virtually all the positions it controls in Khartoum. The RSF rejects that.


What it gained on the battlefield, the RSF lost in the political arena. After the popular uprising that overthrew the longstanding military leader, President Omar al-Bashir, in April 2019, Hemedti was the most nimble and energetic politician in Sudan. Belying his horrific human rights record, Hemedti positioned himself as a champion of revolution and the main bulwark against the return of the old guard of the al-Bashir regime. For that reason, segments of the civilian resistance leaned towards him.


Populist politicians thrive in the limelight, but when the fighting broke out, Hemedti disappeared, fueling speculation that he had been seriously injured. Only last week did he release a short video clip. He looked stiff and pallid. Meanwhile, he has forfeited the political initiative.


In Darfur — the RSF’s home base — it and its Arab militia allies have been conducting brutal campaigns of ethnic cleansing, targeting the Masalit people of Western Darfur and the Fur of Central Darfur. There is evidence of mass graves. Militiamen burned the palace of the sultan, customary leader of the Masalit and murdered the ethnic Masalit governor, Khamis Abbakar. The violence compares with the atrocities of twenty years ago, and makes the withdrawal two years ago of the United Nations-African Union Mission in Darfur (UNAMID) look irresponsible.


Whatever happens in Khartoum, Darfur faces another round of turmoil and bloodshed, this time without any serious international attention.


By default, SAF’s leader, General al-Burhan, has gained the political upper hand. He’s increasingly recognized as representing the government. But he has shown neither political profile nor leadership, and it’s unclear if he can manage his cabal of quarrelsome lieutenants, including the resurgent veteran Islamists who served under al-Bashir. 


The Forces for Freedom and Change, which spearheaded the 2019 uprising, are trying to regroup, but other civilian groups are disenchanted with them. Most of them refuse to entertain talks with the Islamists—a position that, during the civilian-led interlude that lasted until the October 2021 military coup, pushed the Islamists into the army’s embrace. 


Meanwhile, the deposed civilian prime minister, Abdalla Hamdok, has continued his cautious pattern of seeking consensus, disappointing those who wanted to see a more energetic stand against the generals. 

The Neighborhood Resistance Committees — which were the backbone of the protests—have repurposed themselves as humanitarian first responders. Depleted by the flight of many members, they have yet to generate a coordinated political strategy.


In June and July, a burst of diplomatic energy seemed to promise that the low-wattage U.S.-Saudi and African Union mediation processes might be overtaken by more vigorous efforts. It hasn’t worked out that way, as rival initiatives have cancelled each other out, turning the diplomatic arena into a field of tactical positioning.


In late June, the northeast African regional bloc, the Intergovernmental Authority on Development (IGAD), held a summit meeting and appointed Kenyan President William Ruto to head a “quartet” including Djibouti, Ethiopia and South Sudan. Ruto made no secret of his strong views. He condemned the war as “senseless” and the violence in Darfur as, possibly, “genocide.” He said that the Sudanese people had made it perfectly clear what they wanted—a democratic government. The IGAD leaders also spoke of activating the East African Standby Brigade to intervene.


Shortly afterwards, Egypt convened a “Summit of Sudan’s Neighboring States.” Strenuous diplomacy by President Abdel Fattah al-Sisi ensured a strong attendance. Paragraph 3 of the communiqué stressed “the importance of preserving the Sudanese State and its institutions, and preventing the fragmentation of the country, or descent into chaos.”


Egypt has a longstanding diplomatic rivalry with IGAD. Twenty-five years ago, the IGAD peace process for southern Sudan, led by a Kenyan general, resulted in a peace agreement that gave the southern Sudanese the opportunity to vote to secede. They took that option in 2011, creating the independent state of South Sudan. A parallel Egyptian-Libyan initiative, resolutely opposed to granting self-determination, was brushed aside.


Al-Sisi’s summit met his minimal aim of blocking IGAD, thus  reducing the diplomatic arena to tactical maneuvering without strategic direction.


The Egyptian plan was nurtured behind the scenes by Qatar and Turkey, both of which back Sudan’s Islamists. None are impressed with al-Burhan’s leadership, but they far prefer him to the alternative. This gave al-Burhan the green light to boycott the IGAD leaders’ follow-up meeting, and for SAF to voice strenuous objections to IGAD, on the pretext that Ruto has business dealings with Hemedti and is therefore biased. (They overlooked Ruto’s remarks about genocide, which targeted the RSF and its allies.)

After the Cairo summit, SAF generals have begun talking about how the war may be finished in a few months. Their hope is that Turkey, the region’s leading supplier of state-of-the-art drones—the Bayraktar TB2, deployed to devastating effect by Azerbaijan, Ethiopia and Libya — will provide them with this game-changing technology. 


But an escalation in battlefield technology would not go unchallenged. The RSF already has some less capable drones of its own. It will be pressing the UAE to send it high-end versions — and bin Zayed is quite capable of resisting pressure from Riyadh, Cairo and Ankara, and overruling his own advisors to follow his own path. This would turn Sudan into a proxy war among Middle Eastern powers.


With Egypt canceling out IGAD, the diplomatic pass-the-buck goes back to the Americans and Saudis. After a six-week suspension, talks resumed in Jeddah in mid-July. The mediators insist they have a plan and may yet have the leverage to get the generals to agree to a ceasefire. But there’s no sign of a strategic vision for how to help Sudan escape from its crisis.


Written by Alex de Waal


More from Alex de Waal


View original: https://responsiblestatecraft.org/2023/08/03/sudans-next-stop-regional-proxy-war/


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Post script from Sudan Watch Editor

Here are two cartoons. I wrote more but it became a rant about me feeling weary reading never-ending news of men attacking, raping, killing women and children. To help stop the violence I thought of starting a rumour. 


The rumour was this. Any man carrying a gun, knife or whatever to attack, kill, rape women and children has a tiny todger. Any man who cares about peace, women and children has a big todger. And any man who cares about peace, women and children and is a real peacemaker has a very big todger.  


Job done. Rumour started!


Hemedti is battering the Sudanese nation (independent since 1956), people are burying their dead and plundering the country, while El Burhan remains in his cellar below the Army Command in Khartoum (Cartoon by Omar Dafallah / RD)

Source: Radio Dabanga 28 July 2023 report

Army delegation in Jeddah returns to Sudan ‘for deliberations’

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Here is a copy of a tweet by John Godfrey @USAMBSudan 31 July 2023:

"Welcomed the opportunity to visit Egypt to consult with partners on efforts to stop the fighting in Sudan, and to meet in Cairo with a group of Embassy Khartoum locally-engaged staff.  Thank you to Egypt for its efforts, including on behalf of Sudanese fleeing the fighting in their country.

9:31 PM · Jul 31, 2023"


Here is a copy of one of the replies, posted in Arabic together with cartoon of chessboard (presumably being played by POTUS Donald Trump):

𓅃𝑨𝒛𝒐𝒖𝒛 𓀛ۦـــۦـزوز𓅋عـۦـــۦــ @oT9KUOpBLUloHHB

حكومتك هي سبب البلاوي اهتموا بامر روسيا والصين أفضل ليكم

Translated from Arabic by Google:

"Your government is the cause of the troubles. Take care of Russia and China. It is better for you."


https://twitter.com/USAMBSudan/status/1686112289726824448

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